This weekend, we have a 13-fight card in Philly on big ESPN. DraftKings has some strong contests and I look forward to pursuing the big GPPs. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $30k belongs to 1st place with a total of $500k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I won my first chair into it a couple weeks back and I will try to get my 2nd seat this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at that $30 decoration, then I will likely have a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Main Event Stack, Justin Gaethje AND Edson Barboza
While I stack a fight in money games I want a minimum of 100 total points. Ideally much more like 150 or more, but I’ll take 100-point floor with all the guaranteed win. With Gaethje fights, we’re pretty much locked into that 100+ and we have seen his struggles even complete over 200 DK points. He is the best design for accruing DraftKings points and should we utilize Edson too, then we’re guaranteed a win and probably 150+ factors. Give me that all day. This is how I’ll be starting my cash lineup and then I will work out the rest from there. I shall take the loss because we do not desire 6 wins in money games. 1st place and 5th place get paid the exact same in a 10-man double-up, so I am not shooting first and I’d rather play it safer with my cash lineups.
GPP play of this week — Enrique Barzola — $8,200
This isn’t a sneaky play whatsoever but Barzola should be a terrific play when he shoots for takedowns. In his 5 UFC wins he’s 36 takedowns. That’s exactly what we want on DraftKings. Each takedown is 5-points and he can stand up enough to score 100+ points. If he could score over 100 DK points here at $8.2k he’s for sure going to acquire somebody $30k. I really do expect him to be chalky this week, but he has too much scoring possible I’d like to fade the chalk. I will likely be in accord with the area on possession with my lineups, if not overweight.
Underdog play of this week — Michelle Waterson — $7,600
I like Waterson here because she’s the fighter that will be searching for takedowns in this fight. I believe she can find a few and she could have the ability to lock a entry if that is the case. That is her ceiling in this fight, but I enjoy her for cash games due to her floor. I don’t see KK finishing Waterson, so I think we get three complete rounds of scoring from her. In a loss she could place up 30-40 DK points and in money games that is fine. I’ll use her in GPPs also, but I do not think she submits KK. I’d guess she places up around ~80 DK points in a decision win if she’s able to receive the victory.
Fade of this week — Sabina Mazo ($8,800)
I am spreading my vulnerability out on the majority of the favorites this week in GPPs however Mazo is the one I am interested at least. I believe the only way she outscores her 8.8k salary would be by getting another head kick KO. I really don’t think that is very likely at all and I think that a decision win is likely for her. I don’t see her heading for almost any takedowns or obtaining many/any knockdowns, so I don’t see the way she scores tremendously in a decision win. I will have zero lineups with Mazo this week and when I was making 100 lineups I’d still likely full fade . Hopefully it doesn’t burn me, however, she’s my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link too. I’m 63-41for +210.99 (+$21,099) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

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