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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and leave our college football selections and that I will detract from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL debate to dip our feet into uncharted waters.
It will almost certainly be the first and only time this season we do so, as the previous week of exhibition NFL football is somewhat lackluster in comparison to a regular-season sport of NCAA soccer featuring one of the top teams in the country, plus a mythical football program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us begin the debate after my buddy Doug Upstone got the better of me last week with a wager on the Steelers while I backed the Titans. We have been placing wins forth and back so it appears like its my turn for the golden wreath, as I will follow the squares laying the lumber that is heavy onto a road favorite and endorse the Irish.
After reviewing the school football odds nearly six days prior to the Monday night affair, I see the lineup has spiked a half-point about the preferred, opening at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is presently offered in a solid -20 across the board whatsoever of the best internet sportsbooks.
Doug, I enjoy the Irish but you are currently leaning in this season-opening clash on the Cardinals. Other than the venue, why do you believe Louisville can hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yup , Swinger, at least and a win IMO, it said a lot about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Lets move to real soccer, so will our records on this one and in which the matches rely.
Recall all those Thursday night games Louisville utilized to perform against opponents? They held their engineered and own upsets. These were fun games and also the Cardinals were a thrilling club.
However, like the former Papa Johns Stadium as well as its counterfeit (in real life) owner, Louisville football last year was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield are out win matches and to change the civilization and worked wonders at Appalachian State. This wont happen right away as the ability level is down in theVille. This is a time for Louisville, a group that has the chance to start taking actions.
Ive read where the Cards coaches have sped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and I like Hassan Hall as the lead running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 the defense, well, that makes me more nervous. Please do tell why youve got up your Irish.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing flying in this game since the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable in their nest. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and he has a team coming off of a dismal 2-10 album this past year in which they went winless in ACC action. This rebuild is comparable to attempting to turn it in an F-22 Raptor and taking a hot air balloon.
While that may eventually happen, the issue is that Louisville is confronting a team which made it into the CFP last year and owned only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, surrendering just 17.2 points over the normal season and going a perfect 12-0 till they fulfilled Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense was clicking on all cylinders as well, averaging 33 points per match over.
So, my query is, just how will be a quarterback like Pass whos slow to release, designed to get any traction against a swarming defense? Especially when hes working with a completely new offensive strategy and a new coach?
Please, Doug, rescue me I am lost! I see no way, shape or form where Louisville will be able to keep pace with the Golden Domers and I am desperate to the brand new wisdom and handicapping expertise that is prodigious!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im glad to read in your last sentence you are coming around to the glowing side of sport betting, or youre just being the exact wise a** you are. I will allow the SBR readers who are currently making college football picks decide on this. Im the first to realize Louisville was 1-11 ATS, although not only 2-10 and fully pumped last year.
But that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, just like he gave up around the Atlanta Falcons. A new attitude is brought by A new trainer and with this being a federal game, Satterfield will market his team on making a statement. Louisville does have to expect not and the Irish will take them have much fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly with the blue and gold is simply 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, also if dishing out 20 or more specimens, a mere 7-9-1 ATS. That defense you said might improve as the year progresses but substituting five starters, when you dont/can not amuse like Clemson or even Bama, it is going to take time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was a bit facetious because though youve got an handicapping resume, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this circumstance, you happen to be shooting blanks because Louisville might be better than last year but I would submit that they could be trained by a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their record rendered by an inept trainer like Petrino.
I understand that laying nearly 3 touchdowns on the street would be square biz for certain along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by betting the heavy road chalk, but sometimes the people is right, and also in this case they really are. Until when we get back on our NFL Game of the Week next week, lets see what happens on Monday when the Irish come prepared to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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